2010年10月7日 星期四

世銀總裁:低利率不可能永持續

世銀總裁:低利率不可能永持續 【02:25】


〔中央社〕世界銀行(World Bank)總裁左里克(Robert Zoellick)今天在華府向記者表示,全球決策者必須調整以適應利率上揚。

根據彭博報導,左里克在華府的聲明稿中表示,「我們也應該承認目前的低利率不能永久持續。」「在某個時間點,利率將攀升,因此決策者和市場必須對於下一步會發生什麼有所準備因應。」

左里克表示,國際組織可能有助避免匯率競貶。「倘若你相信多邊主義,我認為有國際機構可以和主要國家扮演中介的角色。」

左里克表示,有些國家的匯率政策造成全球經濟緊張,從歷史經驗來看,以鄰為壑的政策沒有未來。

同時,左里克也認為擁有順差的國家應該避免為了捍衛出口而干預匯市。

左里克認為美國不太可能陷入二度衰退。

左里克表示,目前全球經濟仍處於相當脆弱的復甦階段。(譯者:中央社劉淑琴)

IMF, World Bank Call for Cooler Heads on Currencies



WASHINGTON (Reuters) - World leaders must defuse currency tensions before they worsen to avoid repeating the mistakes of the Great Depression, the head of the World Bank said on Thursday.
The spirit of global economic cooperation, first forged in 2008 during the darkest days of the financial crisis, was weakening as the recession gives way to an uneven and shaky recovery, the head of the International Monetary Fund warned.
Fears of a global currency war as nations look to export their way to economic health have jumped to the top of the agenda at IMF and World Bank meetings this weekend.
The push among nations for a trading edge, reminiscent of the strains that exacerbated the Great Depression, are also expected to be a primary topic of discussion when Group of Seven finance leaders hold a closed-door dinner on Friday.
Finance ministers from the larger G20 group of rich and emerging economies scheduled a working breakfast on Friday as they prepare for next month's leaders summit in Seoul.
The meetings provide a forum for intense discussions about efforts to persuade China to let its currency rise, the weakening in the U.S. dollar and the strengthening of emerging market currencies as investors chase higher yields.
"If one lets this slide into conflict, or forms of protectionism, then we run the risks of repeating the mistakes of the 1930s," World Bank President Robert Zoellick told reporters at a briefing.
The IMF trimmed its 2011 growth forecast for advanced economies on Wednesday and warned the task of reducing heavy government debt burdens, while essential, would act as a significant drag on growth.
Slow growth at home leaves countries unusually reliant on exports, and this has heightened concerns they will intentionally weaken their currencies to boost trade.
Zoellick said history shows "beggar thy neighbor" policies don't work, and suggested international agencies such as the IMF and World Trade Organization could help manage currency tensions before they erupt into something more damaging.

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